MD 0231 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 50... FOR EASTERN GA INTO PARTS OF SC AND NORTH FL


Mesoscale Discussion 0231
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Areas affected...Eastern GA into parts of SC and north FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

Valid 121250Z - 121415Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

SUMMARY...The wind-damage and brief tornado threat may continue
eastward through the morning.

DISCUSSION...Some decrease in convective vigor has been noted with
the long-lived QLCS moving across parts of east GA and FL Panhandle.
However, low-level rotation continues to occasionally be noted along
portions of the line, especially across parts of
east-central/southeast GA, where an evolution to more of a
semi-discrete mode has occurred. Modest downstream destabilization
and ascent attendant to an approaching mid/upper-level shortwave
trough may help to sustain organized convection through the morning,
with some wind-damage and brief-tornado threat spreading into parts
of SC and southeast GA. 

Lightning activity has diminished with the southern portion of the
line approaching north FL, but strong low-level flow may continue to
support at least a localized damaging-wind threat through the
morning. Parts of north FL will be monitored for an uptick in
convective intensity later today, due to potential for somewhat
stronger diurnal destabilization in this area.

..Dean.. 03/12/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31008300 32148218 33218250 34158217 34648181 34918155
            34978097 34988070 34718042 34208035 33158061 31868113
            30978156 30318181 29918236 29858281 29808330 29988375
            30188368 30738320 31008300 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

WW 0050 Status Updates


STATUS REPORT ON WW 50

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE AYS
TO 35 ESE VDI TO 5 SW AGS TO 40 SE SPA.

..GRAMS..03/12/26

ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...GSP...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 50 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

GAC025-029-031-033-051-073-101-103-127-165-179-181-183-191-229-
245-251-299-305-121440-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRANTLEY             BRYAN               BULLOCH             
BURKE                CHATHAM             COLUMBIA            
ECHOLS               EFFINGHAM           GLYNN               
JENKINS              LIBERTY             LINCOLN             
LONG                 MCINTOSH            PIERCE              
RICHMOND             SCREVEN             WARE                
WAYNE                


SCC003-005-009-011-013-017-023-025-027-029-035-039-049-053-055-
057-061-063-071-075-079-081-085-091-121440-

SC 
.    SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AIKEN                ALLENDALE           BAMBERG             
BARNWELL             BEAUFORT            CALHOUN             
CHESTER              CHESTERFIELD        CLARENDON           
COLLETON             DORCHESTER          FAIRFIELD

WW 50 TORNADO GA SC 121110Z - 121700Z


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 50
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
710 AM EDT Thu Mar 12 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Far Eastern and Southeastern Georgia
  Much of Central and Southern South Carolina

* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 710 AM until
  100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Ongoing convective line is expected to continue
progressing eastward/northeastward into more of eastern/southeastern
Georgia and South Carolina this morning. Strong shear, particularly
in the low levels, will support a threat for damaging wind gusts and
brief line-embedded tornadoes for the next several hours.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north northeast of Columbia SC
to 65 miles south of Vidalia GA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 49...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Mosier

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0732 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Valid 121300Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds
across parts of the Southeast this morning into the early afternoon.
A tornado can not be ruled out early with this activity. Strong wind
gusts are possible across the northern Plains this afternoon as
well.

...Southeast into the Carolinas...
Early-morning satellite imagery shows phased shortwave troughs
within the broad upper troughing across the eastern CONUS, with the
southern shortwave progressing through the Southeast and the
northern shortwave moving into the Middle OH Valley. A convective
line, aided by ascent attendant to the southern shortwave, continues
to progress eastward/northeastward across GA and the FL Panhandle. A
warm, moist, and modestly buoyant environment precedes this line,
with temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s and dewpoints ranging
from the low 60s across the Carolinas to the low 70s across northern
FL. Expectation is for this line to persist as it continues
eastward/northeastward, with perhaps some slowing of the southern
portion of the line as it becomes displaced south of the better
forcing for ascent. Central portion of this line nearest the
strongest forcing will likely have the deepest updrafts for the next
several hours before progressing northeastward of the better
moisture and buoyancy as it moves across NC. Robust low to mid-level
flow will remain in place, supporting the potential for damaging
gusts and brief line-embedded tornadoes through the afternoon.

...Northern Plains...
Intense mid-level flow (i.e. 100-120 kt at 500 mb) will spread
southeastward across the northern Plains this afternoon, in tandem
with a low-amplitude shortwave trough progressing through the
region. Forecast soundings suggest weak buoyancy will evolve south
of the front across the northern Plains such that shallow convection
is expected to develop, along with the threat of some lightning.
This convection could augment the already strong
westerly/northwesterly flow, resulting in strong surface wind gusts.
Significant wind gusts (65+ kt) are possible.

..Mosier/Dean.. 03/12/2026

WW 0049 Status Updates


STATUS REPORT ON WW 49

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW PFN TO
25 E MAI TO 10 NNE ABY TO 20 W MCN TO 15 SW AHN.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0230

..DEAN..03/12/26

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC005-013-037-039-045-065-073-077-129-121240-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAY                  CALHOUN             FRANKLIN            
GADSDEN              GULF                JEFFERSON           
LEON                 LIBERTY             WAKULLA             


GAC009-017-019-021-023-027-071-075-079-081-087-091-093-107-125-
131-133-141-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-185-205-209-211-225-
235-237-253-265-271-275-277-279-283-287-289-301-303-309-315-317-
319-321-121240-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN              BEN HILL            BERRIEN             
BIBB                 BLECKLEY            BROOKS              
COLQUITT             COOK                CRAWFORD            
CRISP                DECATUR             DODGE               
DOOLY                EMANUEL             GLASCOCK