SPC Forecast Products
SPC - No watches are valid as of Wed Dec 31 00:50:02 UTC 2025
Published: Tue, 30 Dec 2025 at 06:49:06 PM CST
No watches are valid as of Wed Dec 31 00:50:02 UTC 2025.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Wed Dec 31 00:50:02 UTC 2025
Published: Tue, 30 Dec 2025 at 06:49:05 PM CST
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Dec 31 00:50:02 UTC 2025.

SPC Dec 31, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Published: Tue, 30 Dec 2025 at 06:24:21 PM CST
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0620 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

Valid 310100Z - 311200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast.


..Darrow.. 12/31/2025

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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Published: Tue, 30 Dec 2025 at 03:59:18 PM CST
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

...Synopsis...
An embedded mid-level short wave moves into the Southwest Days
3-4/Thursday-Friday as a more zonal flow pattern emerges across the
central U.S. while more pronounced troughing continues across the
Northeast. The arrival of stronger westerly flow aloft subsequent
strengthening lee cyclone across the southern Plains could bring
stronger winds to portions of the southern High Plains and West TX
on Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday. A broad upper-level ridge builds over
the central U.S. over the weekend into early next week straddled by
troughing across the West and Northeastern CONUS.

...Southeast U.S....
Although dry conditions across the Southeast will persist with
minimal recent precipitation and moderately dry fuels in place,
winds should be relatively light with a more diffuse surface
pressure gradient in place. Increasing boundary layer moisture ahead
of a surface cyclone on Day 4/Friday will further limit the fire
weather threat across the Southeast and FL, with rainfall expected
Day 5/Saturday as the surface low and frontal boundary translates
eastward along the northern Gulf Coast.

...Southern/Central Plains...
Lee surface troughing and increasing westerly flow aloft will
promote enhanced surface winds across the Southern Plains on Day
3/Thursday before a cold front moves through the region Day
4/Friday. However, anomalously high mid/upper-level Pacific moisture
and cloud cover being ushered into the Southwest could be a
considerable mitigating factor in suppressing a greater fire weather
concern in terms of RH reductions across the Southern Plains late
this week, limiting predictability in a broader critical fire
weather event. Ensemble guidance consensus continues to show an
overall favorable mid/upper level westerly flow pattern for dry,
downslope conditions across the central and southern High Plains
early next week. However, timing and magnitude of surface cyclone
development and return flow events is still nebulous, which
precludes introduction of critical probabilities at this time.

..Williams.. 12/30/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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