Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Longer term ensemble cluster analysis depicts ongoing broad scale mid-level troughing east of the Continental Divide through at least through the weekend, with potentially a more progressive wave pattern emerging by Day 7 or 8 (Sunday-Monday). Colder temperatures, antecedent moisture and lingering snow cover should largely mitigate fire weather concerns east of the High Plains. The persistent northwest flow aloft could bring occasional downslope warming and drying events to the central and southern High Plains, but stronger winds should be localized and limited to adjacent lee slopes of the southern/central Rockies. Ridging across the West will promote dry and seasonably warm conditions across much of the Southwest through early next week. ...Florida... Surface high pressure settling into the Southern Plains and lower MS River Valley should keep deeper boundary layer moisture shunted offshore across the Southeast and Florida. Persistent northerly to northwesterly flow across FL will likely lead to critically low relative humidity each day through Friday, but subdued lower-level wind profiles and diffuse surface pressure gradients should limit breezier winds from developing. Extended model guidance suggests a stronger surface cyclone developing near FL by Day 6/Saturday, traversing the East Coast into early next week. Stronger north winds behind a cold front trailing the low is expected Saturday, but preceding rainfall should mitigate fire weather concerns prior to this potentially stronger offshore wind event. ..Williams.. 01/26/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more
