No watches are valid as of Sat Jan 31 11:52:02 UTC 2026.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Jan 31 11:52:02 UTC 2026.

Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Valid 031200Z - 081200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Embedded within broad midlevel troughing over the eastern half of
the CONUS, a shortwave trough will overspread the OH/TN Valleys and
Southeast on Days 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday. During that time, isolated
to scattered thunderstorms will be possible along an accompanying
cold front as it moves from east TX across the central Gulf Coast.
However, limited moisture/buoyancy ahead of the front should limit
severe potential. 

Thereafter, a cold/dry post-frontal air mass will preclude
thunderstorms across the CONUS.

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0204 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. on Monday or Monday
night.

...Discussion...
A midlevel shortwave trough will advance eastward across the
southern Plains through the period, while a related surface low and
cold front move into the region. In response, weakly modified Gulf
moisture will spread northward ahead of the front, potentially
yielding weak buoyancy in the Arklatex vicinity by the end of the
period. However, the limited moisture/buoyancy and antecedent static
stability should limit thunderstorm potential.

..Weinman.. 01/31/2026