
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0228 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected Wednesday. ...Synopsis... Persistent eastern US troughing will gradually consolidate with pronounced northwesterly flow aloft developing over central and eastern CONUS. Ridging to the west will further enhanced surface high pressure over the Midwest. With Arctic air and widespread snow cover in place, cool and dry surface conditions will negate thunderstorm potential. ..Lyons.. 01/26/2026Read more

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0139 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... Dry post-frontal northwesterly flow across the western Florida peninsula will bring a period of Elevated fire weather concerns on D2/Tuesday. Relative humidity reductions to 20-30% will overlap sustained winds 10-15 mph. There is a chance for some precipitation across the region on D1/Monday, however, this is expected to remain light. An Elevated area was maintained across portions of the western Florida peninsula where the best chances of windy/dry conditions overlap most receptive fuels and lowest precipitation potential. ..Thornton.. 01/26/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be very low today across the CONUS. Recent widespread winter precipitation and rainfall have improved fuels across much of the central/southern Plains with fresh snow pack extending into the Mississippi and Missouri Valleys. In addition, an arctic air mass remains in place across much of the CONUS. Overall, the cold and wet conditions will negate fire spread potential across much of the US. Dry conditions will be possible across the Florida Panhandle as dry northwesterly flow increases behind the passing cold front. Relative humidity reductions around 30-35% may briefly overlap winds 10-15 mph. Cooler temperatures behind the front and some light preceding rainfall should limit broader fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 01/26/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more

Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday. ...Synopsis... Eastern US troughing will continue Tuesday as multiple perturbations move from the Rockies, Great Lakes and southern Canada toward the Eastern US. At the same time, building ridging over the West will favor northwesterly flow over much of the continent. This will continually reinforce an expansive and cold Arctic high pressure over the lower 48. This will negate meaningful inland moisture return and thunderstorm potential for the next several days. ..Lyons.. 01/26/2026Read more

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1117 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms appear unlikely. ...Discussion... Dominant polar air mass will build southeast across lower latitudes which will force a cold front off the southern FL Peninsula later this afternoon. Poor lapse rates and weak large-scale forcing do not favor deep convection capable of generating lightning. Thunderstorm probabilities remain too low to warrant an outlook this period. ..Darrow/Thornton.. 01/26/2026Read more