SPC Forecast Products
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Published: Fri, 06 Feb 2026 at 09:47:25 AM CST
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0945 AM CST Fri Feb 06 2026

Valid 061700Z - 071200Z

...Morning Update...

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across the northern
Florida Peninsula this afternoon. Relatively light westerly winds
this morning will increase to 10-15 mph with RH falling between
25-35 percent. Despite recent rainfall in the previous days, the
fuelscape remains fairly dry. See the previous discussion for more
information.

..Elizalde-Garcia/Lyons.. 02/06/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CST Fri Feb 06 2026/

...Synopsis...
Upper ridging will build over the Plains states as a highly
amplified mid-level trough ejects into the Atlantic today. Surface
high pressure and an accompanying cool airmass will overspread much
of the U.S. from the Plains eastward, limiting significant
wildfire-spread concerns, except over the northern Florida Peninsula
this afternoon. The passage of a surface trough will encourage 10-15
mph sustained westerly surface winds as RH dips into the 25-35
percent range. Given the lack of recent rainfall over northern parts
of the Peninsula, Elevated highlights have been introduced.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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SPC - No watches are valid as of Fri Feb 6 15:48:01 UTC 2026
Published: Fri, 06 Feb 2026 at 09:47:05 AM CST
No watches are valid as of Fri Feb 6 15:48:01 UTC 2026.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Fri Feb 6 15:48:01 UTC 2026
Published: Fri, 06 Feb 2026 at 09:47:04 AM CST
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Feb 6 15:48:01 UTC 2026.

SPC Feb 6, 2026 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Published: Fri, 06 Feb 2026 at 06:27:52 AM CST
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0624 AM CST Fri Feb 06 2026

Valid 061300Z - 071200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States through tonight.

...Synopsis...
A mid- to upper-level low located to the west of Point Conception
along the southern CA coast will move southeastward during the
period to the west of northern Baja California.  A mid-level ridge
will influence conditions farther east across the Rockies while a
deep trough resides along the Atlantic coast.  Cool/stable
conditions will prevail from the MS Valley eastward to the Atlantic
coast while mostly dry and tranquil weather will occur across the
Lower 48.  A few showers and perhaps a couple of deeper convective
towers may result in a few lightning flashes over the higher terrain
east of Point Conception in southern CA.

..Smith/Moore.. 02/06/2026

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