SPC Forecast Products
SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Sun Feb 15 04:01:02 UTC 2026
Published: Sat, 14 Feb 2026 at 10:00:04 PM CST
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Feb 15 04:01:02 UTC 2026.

SPC Tornado Watch 6 Status Reports
Published: Sat, 14 Feb 2026 at 09:22:03 PM CST
WW 0006 Status Updates
WW 0006 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 6

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GLS TO
25 SW ESF TO 10 WSW ELD.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0080

..WEINMAN..02/15/26

ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...SHV...JAN...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC001-003-005-007-009-021-023-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-043-
045-047-049-053-055-059-061-063-065-067-073-077-079-083-091-097-
099-101-107-111-113-121-123-125-127-150440-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA               ALLEN               ASCENSION           
ASSUMPTION           AVOYELLES           CALDWELL            
CAMERON              CATAHOULA           CONCORDIA           
EAST BATON ROUGE     EAST CARROLL        EAST FELICIANA      
EVANGELINE           FRANKLIN            GRANT               
IBERIA               IBERVILLE           JACKSON             
JEFFERSON DAVIS      LAFAYETTE           LA SALLE            
LINCOLN              LIVINGSTON          MADISON             
MOREHOUSE            OUACHITA            POINTE COUPEE       
RAPIDES              RICHLAND            ST. HELENA          
ST. LANDRY           ST. MARTIN          ST. MARY            
TENSAS               UNION               VERMILION           
WEST BATON ROUGE     WEST CARROLL        WEST FELICIANA      
WINN                 


Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 6
Published: Sat, 14 Feb 2026 at 09:22:02 PM CST
WW 6 TORNADO LA MS CW 150055Z - 150800Z
WW 0006 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 6
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Much of Louisiana
  Southwest Mississippi
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 655 PM
  until 200 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of thunderstorms will track eastward
across the watch area through the evening.  Conditions are favorable
for a few intense storms embedded within the line, capable of
tornadoes and damaging wind gusts.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Monroe LA to 55
miles southwest of Intracoastal City LA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Hart

Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 5 Status Reports
Published: Sat, 14 Feb 2026 at 07:26:03 PM CST
WW 0005 Status Updates
WW 0005 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 5

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E PSX TO
45 W POE TO 30 WNW ELD.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0079

..WEINMAN..02/15/26

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...LCH...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC013-015-027-031-043-081-085-119-150240-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

BIENVILLE            BOSSIER             CLAIBORNE           
DE SOTO              GRANT               RED RIVER           
SABINE               WEBSTER             


TXC039-071-167-199-241-245-291-321-351-361-403-150240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRAZORIA             CHAMBERS            GALVESTON           
HARDIN               JASPER              JEFFERSON           
LIBERTY              MATAGORDA           NEWTON              
ORANGE               SABINE              


GMZ330-335-350-355-450-150240-

Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2026 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Published: Sat, 14 Feb 2026 at 06:30:52 PM CST
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0627 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR EASTERN
TEXAS ACROSS LOUISIANA AND INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening and overnight from
eastern Texas across the Lower Mississippi Valley. A few tornadoes
along with scattered damaging winds will be possible.

...Sabine into the Lower Mississippi Valley...
A fast-moving shortwave trough will move from TX toward the lower MS
Valley through Sunday morning, providing lift and cooling aloft. At
the surface, low pressure will move from the ArkLaTex area into
northern MS, with a cold front trailing southwest from the low.

Ahead of the cold front, the air mass will continue to moisten as a
warm front lifts northward across southern LA and eventually
southern MS and AL late. Behind the warm front, dewpoints will
likely rise into the mid 60s F, aided by veering low-level winds and
40-50 kt at 850 mb.

The combination of increasing low-level shear will likely result in
effective SRH values over 200 m2/s2, perhaps near 300 m2/s2 where
non-zero low-level buoyancy exists. Given the rapid progression of
the upper trough, a squall line is likely to be maintained
overnight, possibly reaching southwest AL by 12Z. Both damaging
winds and a few embedded/QLCS tornadoes will be possible as this
line interacts with the increasingly moist air mass. The main
mitigating factor to overall magnitude of severe will be the
instability values, with MLCAPE averaging 500-750 J/kg overnight.

For more information see mesoscale discussions #0078 and #0079.

..Jewell.. 02/15/2026

Read more