
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0954 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z The Elevated area was expanded slightly to the northwest in the Florida Panhandle and southwest Georgia and trimmed along the eastern/southern edges based on the latest observations and high-resolution forecast guidance. Elevated winds/RH are already occurring in portions of the risk area as the forecast remains on track. Please see the previous discussion for more details. ..Nauslar.. 11/28/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0134 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025/ ...Synopsis... Diurnal heating amid a dry post-frontal air mass will result in 15-25 percent afternoon RH across parts of the Southeast. These dry conditions combined with breezy/gusty northerly surface winds (sustained around 15 mph) will result in elevated fire-weather conditions across parts of southern GA and the western half of the FL Peninsula during the afternoon, given dry/receptive fuels. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025 Valid 281300Z - 291200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No severe thunderstorms are anticipated today. ...Southern Plains... Morning water vapor imagery shows the upper ridge that has dominated the weather over the southwest states is rapidly breaking down, as a strong upper trough over OR approaches the Rockies. Large-scale height falls and increasing low-level warm/moist advection will result in marginal instability over TX and the development of scattered thunderstorms later today. Convection has already begun to form over the Big Bend region of TX this morning. Thunderstorms will further develop over west TX through early afternoon, then expand eastward into parts of OK and central TX this evening. Relatively steep mid-level lapse rates will be present over the central/southern Plains, but limited moisture return will generally keep CAPE values below 1000 J/kg and limit updraft strength/severe potential. Nevertheless, the strongest storms this evening could produce small hail. ..Hart/Dean.. 11/28/2025Read more