No watches are valid as of Sat Mar 14 12:29:01 UTC 2026.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Mar 14 12:29:01 UTC 2026.

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0651 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Valid 141300Z - 151200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not anticipated today.

...Synopsis...
An upper trough is expected to rapidly deepen over the northern
Rockies this afternoon, resulting in steep lapse rates, cold
temperatures aloft, and strong large-scale forcing over northwest
WY.  Despite cold surface temperatures, at least isolated
thunderstorms are expected.

A developing low-level baroclinic zone over MN/WI will be the focus
for thunderstorm development tonight as the low-level jet
strengthens.  Much of this activity will likely be associated with
freezing precip and heavy snowfall.

Finally, scattered showers and thunderstorms will affect much of
central/south FL, in a rather weakly sheared environment.

..Hart/Weinman.. 03/14/2026

Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0350 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
On Tuesday/D4, a large upper trough will move across the Northeast,
though the associated surface cold front will already be well
offshore the East Coast with high pressure over land. Behind this
upper trough, models indicate a large upper ridge will be situated
over the Southwest for several days, with a northwest flow pattern
across the Plains. Given this pattern, minimal appreciable moisture
return is expected over the CONUS, and severe storms appear unlikely
through Saturday/D8.