No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 12 13:27:02 UTC 2026.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Jan 12 13:27:02 UTC 2026.

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0547 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 121300Z - 131200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight.

A large upper trough will be the dominant weather feature across the
central/eastern states today, with an upper ridge in the west.
Dry and stable conditions throughout the CONUS will preclude
thunderstorm areas today, although an isolated flash or two might
occur over south FL and southwest TX this afternoon and evening.

..Hart/Kerr.. 01/12/2026

Day 4-8 Outlook

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0354 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Valid 151200Z - 201200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A persistent large-scale upper-level trough is forecast to remain
over the east-central U.S. during the Day 4 to 8 period. This
pattern will be favorable for repeated cold air intrusions into the
continental U.S late this week into early next week. As a result,
cool and dry conditions are expected to remain in place over much of
the nation, making thunderstorm development unlikely in most areas.
No severe threat is forecast to develop over the continental U.S.
through early next week.