SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0228 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected Wednesday.

...Synopsis...
Persistent eastern US troughing will gradually consolidate with
pronounced northwesterly flow aloft developing over central and
eastern CONUS. Ridging to the west will further enhanced surface
high pressure over the Midwest. With Arctic air and widespread snow
cover in place, cool and dry surface conditions will negate
thunderstorm potential.

..Lyons.. 01/26/2026

No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 26 08:31:02 UTC 2026.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Jan 26 08:31:02 UTC 2026.

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0139 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

...Synopsis...
Dry post-frontal northwesterly flow across the western Florida
peninsula will bring a period of Elevated fire weather concerns on
D2/Tuesday. Relative humidity reductions to 20-30% will overlap
sustained winds 10-15 mph. There is a chance for some precipitation
across the region on D1/Monday, however, this is expected to remain
light. An Elevated area was maintained across portions of the
western Florida peninsula where the best chances of windy/dry
conditions overlap most receptive fuels and lowest precipitation
potential.

..Thornton.. 01/26/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...Synopsis...
Fire weather concerns will be very low today across the CONUS.
Recent widespread winter precipitation and rainfall have improved
fuels across much of the central/southern Plains with fresh snow
pack extending into the Mississippi and Missouri Valleys. In
addition, an arctic air mass remains in place across much of the
CONUS. Overall, the cold and wet conditions will negate fire spread
potential across much of the US.

Dry conditions will be possible across the Florida Panhandle as dry
northwesterly flow increases behind the passing cold front. Relative
humidity reductions around 30-35% may briefly overlap winds 10-15
mph. Cooler temperatures behind the front and some light preceding
rainfall should limit broader fire weather concerns.

..Thornton.. 01/26/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1249 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.

...Synopsis...
Eastern US troughing will continue Tuesday as multiple perturbations
move from the Rockies, Great Lakes and southern Canada toward the
Eastern US. At the same time, building ridging over the West will
favor northwesterly flow over much of the continent. This will
continually reinforce an expansive and cold Arctic high pressure
over the lower 48. This will negate meaningful inland moisture
return and thunderstorm potential for the next several days.

..Lyons.. 01/26/2026

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1117 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms appear unlikely.

...Discussion...

Dominant polar air mass will build southeast across lower latitudes
which will force a cold front off the southern FL Peninsula later
this afternoon. Poor lapse rates and weak large-scale forcing do not
favor deep convection capable of generating lightning. Thunderstorm
probabilities remain too low to warrant an outlook this period.

..Darrow/Thornton.. 01/26/2026