MD 0349 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 93... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

Mesoscale Discussion 0349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2026

Areas affected...portions of central Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93...

Valid 040251Z - 040315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe wind swath is expected to persist for at least
the next 1-2 hours. Severe gusts may reach 60-80 mph in spots.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of merging HP supercells have supported the
development of a likely ongoing severe wind swath, with KTLX
velocities exceeding 65 kts just a few hundred feet above the
ground. Given an unstable boundary layer, some downward momentum
transport of the stronger winds will likely continue over the next
1-2 hours, with 60-80 mph gusts likely given limited cooling of the
boundary layer. A mesovortex over northern Pottawatomie County will
likely focus more intense gusts and/or a brief tornado.

..Squitieri.. 04/04/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON   35619724 35679662 35659604 35559578 35389574 35149588
            35089654 35119720 35159733 35339736 35619724 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

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WW 0095 Status Updates

STATUS FOR WATCH 0095 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET

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WW 95 SEVERE TSTM AR KS MO OK 040240Z - 041000Z

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 95
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
940 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Arkansas
  Far Southeast Kansas
  Southwest into South-Central Missouri
  Southern into Eastern Oklahoma

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 940 PM
  until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A broken squall line with a few severe linear thunderstorm
clusters will continue to move eastward across the Watch through the
late evening and into the overnight.  Severe gusts ranging from
60-85 mph are possible with the more intense clusters.  A brief
tornado is possible with a stronger mesovortex.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest
of Fort Leonard Wood MO to 45 miles west southwest of Ardmore OK.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 93...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Smith

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WW 0093 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 93

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE CDS TO
25 WNW FSI TO 35 NNW CQB TO 25 E BVO TO 30 E CNU TO 5 ESE CDJ.

..CHALMERS..04/04/26

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...OUN...TSA...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 93 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC011-021-037-099-040340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOURBON              CHEROKEE            CRAWFORD            
LABETTE              


MOC011-013-015-033-039-041-053-057-083-085-089-097-101-107-119-
145-159-175-185-195-217-040340-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON               BATES               BENTON              
CARROLL              CEDAR               CHARITON            
COOPER               DADE                HENRY               
HICKORY              HOWARD              JASPER              
JOHNSON              LAFAYETTE           MCDONALD            
NEWTON               PETTIS              RANDOLPH            
ST. CLAIR            SALINE              VERNON              


OKC019-027-031-033-035-037-041-049-051-063-065-067-081-083-085-

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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0756 PM CDT Fri Apr 03 2026

Valid 040100Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST
TEXAS NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHEAST IOWA AND EAST INTO CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms continue to evolve into an extensive line this evening
from Iowa to Oklahoma and northwest Texas. Damaging winds, hail, and
a couple of tornadoes remain possible through the overnight.

... 01Z Update ...

Thunderstorms continue to develop along and ahead of an advancing
cold front this evening. These storms should continue to increase in
number, growing upscale into an extensive linear MCS from Northwest
Texas northeastward into southern Iowa. Despite nocturnal
stabilization of the boundary layer, forcing along the cold front,
MUCAPE between 1000-2000 J/kg, and sufficient vertical shear should
support a continued hail and wind threat into the overnight hours,
especially across the southern portion of this area where updrafts
appear to be more robust than areas farther north. Given the moist
low-levels and a modest uptick in the low-level jet, a couple of
tornadoes may still occur as well.

Additional thunderstorms have developed eastward along the warm
front draped across southern Iowa east across Illinois, Indiana,
Ohio, and Pennsylvania. MUCAPE and vertical shear decrease with
eastward extent along the warm front, organized thunderstorms within
the frontal zone should support an localized hail and wind threat
for a few more hours. A tornado or two could also be realized with
any discrete/semi-discrete cell that can increase its resonance time
in the frontal zone, especially across central Illinois where better
instability and vertical shear exist.

..Marsh.. 04/04/2026

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WW 0092 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 92

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE FLV
TO 15 S DSM.

..SQUITIERI..04/04/26

ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LSX...EAX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 92 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ILC001-009-067-071-109-187-040140-

IL 
.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS                BROWN               HANCOCK             
HENDERSON            MCDONOUGH           WARREN              


IAC007-039-051-053-057-087-101-111-117-135-177-179-185-040140-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

APPANOOSE            CLARKE              DAVIS               
DECATUR              DES MOINES          HENRY               
JEFFERSON            LEE                 LUCAS               
MONROE               VAN BUREN           WAPELLO             
WAYNE                


MOC001-025-045-049-061-063-079-081-103-111-115-117-121-127-129-
171-197-199-205-211-040140-

MO 

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WW 0094 Status Updates

STATUS REPORT ON WW 93

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE CDS TO
25 WNW FSI TO 35 NNW CQB TO 25 E BVO TO 30 E CNU TO 5 ESE CDJ.

..CHALMERS..04/04/26

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...OUN...TSA...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 93 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC011-021-037-099-040340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOURBON              CHEROKEE            CRAWFORD            
LABETTE              


MOC011-013-015-033-039-041-053-057-083-085-089-097-101-107-119-
145-159-175-185-195-217-040340-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON               BATES               BENTON              
CARROLL              CEDAR               CHARITON            
COOPER               DADE                HENRY               
HICKORY              HOWARD              JASPER              
JOHNSON              LAFAYETTE           MCDONALD            
NEWTON               PETTIS              RANDOLPH            
ST. CLAIR            SALINE              VERNON              


OKC019-027-031-033-035-037-041-049-051-063-065-067-081-083-085-

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