SPC Forecast Products
SPC MD 278
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:52:02 PM CDT
MD 0278 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 69... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
MD 0278 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 0278
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0219 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Areas affected...portions of northeastern South Carolina into
central and eastern North Carolina.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 69...

Valid 161919Z - 162115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 69 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for damaging gusts and tornadoes continues across
WW69.

DISCUSSION...As of 1915 UTC, strong thunderstorms were ongoing
within a loosely organized convective band from east-central NC to
coastal SC. Thus far, numerous storm interactions and weak buoyancy
(~500 J/kg MLCAPE 18z MHX Sounding) have limited storm organization.
Numerous, but transient, low-level mesocyclones have been observed
with embedded convective element this afternoon. Kinematics remain
quite strong with 0-1 km shear of 40+ kts. This will continue to
pose a risk for damaging gusts and tornadoes with any stronger
mesocyclones able to become established.

Some clearing as been noted to the west of the primary cluster over
central NC. As large-scale ascent from the upper trough moves
overhead this afternoon, additional storm development is possible
ahead of the cold front. Storm mode is likely to remain mixed/messy
with clusters and line segments. Still, the very strong low-level
wind fields will support a continued risk for damaging gusts and
tornadoes across WW69 this afternoon.

..Lyons.. 03/16/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   33597958 35527822 36557751 36607597 36327548 35807529
            35427531 34987570 34637633 34157739 33897775 33677806
            33317878 33207896 33147922 33207941 33597958 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

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SPC Tornado Watch 67
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:40:04 PM CDT
WW 67 TORNADO DC MD NC VA WV CW 161450Z - 162300Z
WW 0067 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 67
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  District Of Columbia
  Maryland
  Northeast North Carolina
  Eastern Virginia
  The eastern West Virginia Panhandle
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1050 AM until
  700 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 85
    mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Several bands and clusters of storms are expected to
intensify through the afternoon, with the potential to produce
swaths of damaging winds, some significant (75-85 mph), and embedded
circulations will pose a threat for several tornadoes, some of which
could be strong (EF2+).

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Baltimore MD to 55
miles west southwest of Norfolk VA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 64...WW 65...WW 66...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 75 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Thompson

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SPC Tornado Watch 67 Status Reports
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:40:04 PM CDT
WW 0067 Status Updates
WW 0067 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 67

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E RZZ TO
30 ENE RIC TO 25 SSW NHK TO 20 E NHK TO 20 SE DOV.

..BENTLEY..03/16/26

ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 67 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MDC019-039-045-047-162140-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DORCHESTER           SOMERSET            WICOMICO            
WORCESTER            


NCC015-029-041-053-073-091-139-143-162140-

NC 
.    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERTIE               CAMDEN              CHOWAN              
CURRITUCK            GATES               HERTFORD            
PASQUOTANK           PERQUIMANS          


VAC001-073-093-095-103-115-119-131-133-159-181-199-550-650-700-
710-735-740-800-810-830-162140-

VA 
.    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 68
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:37:04 PM CDT
WW 68 TORNADO DE MD NJ PA CW 161530Z - 162300Z
WW 0068 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 68
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Delaware
  Eastern Maryland
  New Jersey
  Southeast Pennsylvania
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1130 AM until
  700 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Pre-frontal bands of storms will spread northeastward from
Virginia into southeast Pennsylvania through the afternoon, with an
attendant threat for swaths of damaging winds (60-80 mph) and a few
tornadoes with embedded circulations.  A couple of strong tornadoes
(EF2) will be possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Allentown PA to
35 miles west of Wilmington DE. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 65...WW 66...WW 67...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.

...Thompson

Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 68 Status Reports
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:37:04 PM CDT
WW 0068 Status Updates
WW 0068 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 68

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BWI TO
30 NW ILG TO 20 W ABE TO 10 NW AVP.

..BENTLEY..03/16/26

ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

DEC001-003-005-162140-

DE 
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT                 NEW CASTLE          SUSSEX              


MDC011-029-035-041-162140-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAROLINE             KENT                QUEEN ANNE'S        
TALBOT               


NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-
041-162140-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC             BURLINGTON          CAMDEN              
CAPE MAY             CUMBERLAND          GLOUCESTER          
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SPC Tornado Watch 69
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:03:03 PM CDT
WW 69 TORNADO NC SC CW 161720Z - 170000Z
WW 0069 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 69
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern North Carolina
  Northeast South Carolina
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until
  800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters and band of storms are expected to intensify and
spread northeastward this afternoon/evening while the environment
becomes more favorable for both damaging gusts up to 75 mph and
tornadoes, a couple of which could be strong (EF2+).

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of Elizabeth City NC
to 30 miles south southeast of Myrtle Beach SC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 65...WW 66...WW 67...WW
68...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.

...Thompson

Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 69 Status Reports
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:03:03 PM CDT
WW 0069 Status Updates
WW 0069 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 69

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE CHS TO
10 NNW GSB TO 20 ENE AVC.

..LYONS..03/16/26

ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 69 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-055-061-065-079-083-095-103-107-117-
129-133-137-141-147-155-163-177-187-191-195-162140-

NC 
.    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT             BLADEN              BRUNSWICK           
CARTERET             COLUMBUS            CRAVEN              
DARE                 DUPLIN              EDGECOMBE           
GREENE               HALIFAX             HYDE                
JONES                LENOIR              MARTIN              
NEW HANOVER          ONSLOW              PAMLICO             
PENDER               PITT                ROBESON             
SAMPSON              TYRRELL             WASHINGTON          
WAYNE                WILSON              


SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-162140-

SC 
.    SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DILLON               FLORENCE            GEORGETOWN          
HORRY                MARION              WILLIAMSBURG        

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SPC Tornado Watch 70
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:01:03 PM CDT
WW 70 TORNADO FL GA CW 161730Z - 170000Z
WW 0070 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 70
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  North Florida
  Extreme southeast Georgia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until
  800 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...New storms are forming in the warm sector across north
Florida, and a separate band of storms over the northeast Gulf will
move inland through the afternoon.  The storm environment favors the
potential for a couple of tornadoes with embedded circulations and
supercells ahead of the line, as well as occasional damaging gusts
(60-70 mph) and isolated large hail near 1 inch in diameter.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast of Brunswick GA
to 80 miles southwest of Ocala FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 65...WW 66...WW 67...WW
68...WW 69...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.

...Thompson

Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 70 Status Reports
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 03:01:03 PM CDT
WW 0070 Status Updates
WW 0070 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 70

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE
TO 45 ENE SGJ.

..LYONS..03/16/26

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 70 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC017-035-053-083-089-101-119-125-162140-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CITRUS               FLAGLER             HERNANDO            
MARION               NASSAU              PASCO               
SUMTER               UNION               


GAC127-162140-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GLYNN                


AMZ454-162140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM 
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SPC Mar 16, 2026 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 02:56:01 PM CDT
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0253 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Valid 162000Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE EASTERN SEABOARD...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms with damaging winds and a few strong
tornadoes are expected this afternoon and evening from the Carolinas
into the Mid-Atlantic States.

...20Z Update...
A couple of changes have been made to the outlook for this issuance.
The first change is to remove the Moderate Risk area. Numerous
storms have developed early this afternoon along and near the
instability axis from the eastern Carolinas northward into the
Mid-Atlantic. As a result, instability has remained weaker than was
expected, and severe threat coverage should be a bit less than was
previously forecast. The second change to the outlook is to remove
severe threat probabilities and thunder to the west of the
instability corridor from the Florida Panhandle northward into parts
of the southern and central Appalachians.

..Broyles.. 03/16/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026/

...Carolinas to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast...
Large-scale outflow from ongoing broken linear bands along with a
separate swath of convection with the low-level warm conveyor have
greatly hampered the amplitude of diurnal destabilization across the
Carolinas to the DE Valley. Primary severe threat should remain with
the pre-frontal linear bands as they spread east-northeast this
afternoon. Some intensification may yet occur across eastern
SC/southern NC within pockets of low 70s surface temperatures. See
MCDs 272-273 for additional storm-term discussion.

Farther north, a pre-frontal low-topped convective line is evolving
across central PA. This should be the primary driver of afternoon
severe potential northeastward into parts of NY as mid 50s to low
60s surface dew points remain prevalent just ahead of this line.
Within a deeply meridional wind profile, damaging winds and embedded
tornadoes will be the main hazards. This activity should remain
spatially confined by a lack of downstream boundary-layer
destabilization over eastern NY into New England.

In the wake of this leading activity, a second round of low-topped
convection will likely reform east of the Blue Ridge into the
Piedmont towards late afternoon/early evening. Prior overturning and
persistent cloud coverage should mitigate appreciable boundary-layer
destabilization. However, robust large-scale ascent and intensifying
lower-level winds will accompany the ejection of a 100+ kt 500-mb
jetlet within the basal shortwave trough. This should yield a
renewed threat for damaging winds accompanying the fast-moving line.
Even with meager buoyancy, another round of sporadic severe gusts
should occur from NC/VA to the Chesapeake Bay/DE Valley vicinity
through this evening.

...GA/FL...
Moderate buoyancy characterized by MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg will
persist through the afternoon ahead of southwest/northeast-oriented
convection. With large-scale ascent, outside of low-level
convergence, becoming more focused to the north of this region,
there is uncertainty on how far south an organized line will persist
in the FL Peninsula. Primary severe threat should remain through
mid-afternoon, with a generalized waning in southern extent this
evening.

Read more

SPC Mar 16, 2026 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 02:00:30 PM CDT
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Outlook Image
Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0159 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday or Wednesday night.

...Discussion...
Conditions will be too dry/stable for lightning-producing convection
across the CONUS through the period. One exception may be near the
far southern FL Peninsula and Keys as the prior cold front intrusion
on D1-2 stalls near the FL Straits. While some airmass modification
will occur north of the boundary over offshore waters, thunderstorm
potential on land appears negligible through Wednesday night.

..Grams.. 03/16/2026

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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 01:36:17 PM CDT
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0134 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

The Elevated area over the southern Plains was adjusted slightly
eastward to align with the latest forecast guidance. Locally
critical conditions will be possible over portions of the Texas
Panhandle and southwestern Oklahoma during the Day 2/Tuesday time
frame. Additionally, this lack of moisture recovery will effectively
extend the burn period and pre-condition fuels prior to the arrival
of the strongest synoptic winds on Day 2/Tuesday afternoon.

Farther west and north, an additional Elevated fire weather area has
been introduced across north-central New Mexico, the eastern
Colorado plains, and adjacent segments of the central High Plains.
This region will experience sustained west-to-northwest winds near
15-20 mph with RHs of 15-20%. While northern portions of this risk
area may struggle to meet strict RH thresholds, the proximity to the
upper-level jet suggests these areas will see the highest wind
magnitudes, likely compensating for the marginal humidity.

..Stearns/Williams.. 03/16/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0148 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026/

...Synopsis...
A period of Elevated fire weather concerns will return on D2/Tuesday
across the southern Plains. Westerly flow aloft will overspread the
northern/central Rockies, with lee troughing strengthening across
the northern/central High Plains. Strengthening southwest winds will
extend into the Southern Plains where a residual dry air mass will
promote an increasing fire weather threat for southeastern NM, west
TX and western OK. Afternoon relative humidity reductions to 15-20%
will overlap sustained south southwesterly winds 10-15 mph. A
corridor of near Critical to Critical conditions may be possible
within this broader Elevated. For now, confidence in coverage of
critical winds is too low to include an area at this time, given low
combined probabilities from ensemble guidance from the HREF.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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SPC Mar 16, 2026 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 12:31:51 PM CDT
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Outlook Image
Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1229 PM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential appears negligible on Tuesday.

...Discussion...
With the trailing portion of a cold front expected to have exited
the Eastern Seaboard by 12Z Tuesday, any lingering deep convection
near the front should be relegated to the FL Straits during the mid
to late morning. An expansive surface anticyclone, initially
centered over far southeast TX/Lower Sabine Valley vicinity, will
maintain a pervasive continental air mass across the northern Gulf.
Conditions will be too hostile for lightning-producing convection
across the CONUS through the period.

..Grams.. 03/16/2026

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SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 11:37:16 AM CDT
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PWO Image
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026

...Outbreak of severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Mid
Atlantic States this afternoon...

* LOCATIONS...
  Eastern Virginia
  Eastern North Carolina
  Maryland
  A small part of northeast South Carolina
  District of Columbia

* HAZARDS...
  Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force
  A few tornadoes, a couple strong

* SUMMARY...
  Multiple rounds of severe storms through this evening will yield
  potential for scattered to widespread damaging winds and a few
  strong tornadoes from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic
  States.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch
means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms
over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is
issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an 
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

&&

..Thompson.. 03/16/2026
Read more

SPC Mar 16, 2026 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 11:31:02 AM CDT
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1128 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Valid 161630Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF
SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...WASHINGTON D.C. AND
MARYLAND...

...SUMMARY...
Multiple rounds of severe storms through this evening will yield
potential for scattered to widespread damaging winds and a few
strong tornadoes from the Carolinas into the Mid-Atlantic States.

...Carolinas to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast...
Large-scale outflow from ongoing broken linear bands along with a
separate swath of convection with the low-level warm conveyor have
greatly hampered the amplitude of diurnal destabilization across the
Carolinas to the DE Valley. Primary severe threat should remain with
the pre-frontal linear bands as they spread east-northeast this
afternoon. Some intensification may yet occur across eastern
SC/southern NC within pockets of low 70s surface temperatures. See
MCDs 272-273 for additional storm-term discussion.

Farther north, a pre-frontal low-topped convective line is evolving
across central PA. This should be the primary driver of afternoon
severe potential northeastward into parts of NY as mid 50s to low
60s surface dew points remain prevalent just ahead of this line.
Within a deeply meridional wind profile, damaging winds and embedded
tornadoes will be the main hazards. This activity should remain
spatially confined by a lack of downstream boundary-layer
destabilization over eastern NY into New England.

In the wake of this leading activity, a second round of low-topped
convection will likely reform east of the Blue Ridge into the
Piedmont towards late afternoon/early evening. Prior overturning and
persistent cloud coverage should mitigate appreciable boundary-layer
destabilization. However, robust large-scale ascent and intensifying
lower-level winds will accompany the ejection of a 100+ kt 500-mb
jetlet within the basal shortwave trough. This should yield a
renewed threat for damaging winds accompanying the fast-moving line.
Even with meager buoyancy, another round of sporadic severe gusts
should occur from NC/VA to the Chesapeake Bay/DE Valley vicinity
through this evening.

...GA/FL...
Moderate buoyancy characterized by MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg will
persist through the afternoon ahead of southwest/northeast-oriented
convection. With large-scale ascent, outside of low-level
convergence, becoming more focused to the north of this region,
there is uncertainty on how far south an organized line will persist
in the FL Peninsula. Primary severe threat should remain through
mid-afternoon, with a generalized waning in southern extent this
evening.

..Grams/Lyons.. 03/16/2026

Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 66 Status Reports
Published: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 at 11:18:04 AM CDT
WW 0066 Status Updates
WW 0066 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 66

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE CLT TO
30 WNW SOP TO 20 WNW DAN TO 30 W SHD.

..LYONS..03/16/26

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 66 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NCC001-033-037-051-063-077-085-093-105-125-135-145-153-165-181-
183-161740-

NC 
.    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALAMANCE             CASWELL             CHATHAM             
CUMBERLAND           DURHAM              GRANVILLE           
HARNETT              HOKE                LEE                 
MOORE                ORANGE              PERSON              
RICHMOND             SCOTLAND            VANCE               
WAKE                 


VAC009-011-019-029-031-037-083-143-590-680-161740-

VA 
.    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AMHERST              APPOMATTOX          BEDFORD             
BUCKINGHAM           CAMPBELL            CHARLOTTE           
HALIFAX              PITTSYLVANIA        


VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
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