
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... Embedded within broad midlevel troughing over the eastern half of the CONUS, a shortwave trough will overspread the OH/TN Valleys and Southeast on Days 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday. During that time, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible along an accompanying cold front as it moves from east TX across the central Gulf Coast. However, limited moisture/buoyancy ahead of the front should limit severe potential. Thereafter, a cold/dry post-frontal air mass will preclude thunderstorms across the CONUS.Read more

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0204 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the U.S. on Monday or Monday night. ...Discussion... A midlevel shortwave trough will advance eastward across the southern Plains through the period, while a related surface low and cold front move into the region. In response, weakly modified Gulf moisture will spread northward ahead of the front, potentially yielding weak buoyancy in the Arklatex vicinity by the end of the period. However, the limited moisture/buoyancy and antecedent static stability should limit thunderstorm potential. ..Weinman.. 01/31/2026Read more