
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z Upper-level ridging will continue and potentially amplify over the West through early next week, but weak upper lows/troughs are likely to traverse through the ridging over the southern half of the West this weekend into early next week. Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over the Great Lakes and Northeast into mid-next week, but a stronger upper low is forecast to move into these areas early to mid-next week. The southern half of the West, southern/central Plains, and much of the Southeast will receive little to no rainfall through early next week. Dry/breezy conditions are likely on portions of the southern/central High Plains, most likely from southeast Colorado into eastern New Mexico and far west Texas Day 4/Saturday ahead/along an approaching cold front. Another round of dry/breezy conditions are likely early to mid-next week, but the timing/magnitude of potential elevated/critical winds/RH remains uncertain. Fuels continue to cure due to recent dry weather, with increasing fire activity noted during dry/breezy periods in portions of Texas and Oklahoma. Rain chances increase along the Rio Grande and into central/east/north Texas this weekend and early to mid-next week, but how much rain and how far north/west it extends remains uncertain. However, heavy rain is unlikely in west/central/north Texas. Dry cold frontal passages late this week and early next week will continue to dry fuels across the Southeast. However, recent rainfall and the lack of overlap of elevated/critical winds/RH preclude introducing probabilities. ..Nauslar.. 12/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0117 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Elevated to locally critical winds/RH are likely across portions of southeast Wyoming and eastern Colorado where west-northwest sustained winds of 15-30 mph gusting 25-50 mph and minimum RH of 15-30% are forecast. Elevated winds/RH are also likely from northwest Texas into southern/central Oklahoma tomorrow amid dry return flow, with southwest sustained winds of 10-20 mph and minimum RH of 18-30%. However, given the marginal fuel conditions and perhaps more local coverage of elevated winds/RH, Elevated areas were not added. ..Nauslar.. 12/10/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1152 PM CST Tue Dec 09 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low on D2/Thursday. The pattern will continue to favor high amplitude ridging in the west and troughing in the east. Westerly flow across the northern Rockies and surface troughing across the Plains will allow for some overlap of downslope flow with dry conditions across the central and southern High Plains. Fuels across these regions are not receptive to large fire spread, which will help mitigate any fire weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0110 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Valid 102000Z - 111200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight. No changes. ..Hart.. 12/10/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... A shortwave trough, and accompanying intense jet streak with 500 mb winds over 100 kt, will continue eastward through the OH Valley today and off the Northeast coast by early tomorrow. Surface low associated with this wave will progress northeastward from its current position over southeastern Lower MI/southwestern Ontario along the St. Lawrence Valley today, continuing through ME and into the Canadian Maritimes by early tomorrow. An extensive cold front extending southeastward from this low will push quickly eastward/southeastward through the southern Plains and much of the eastern CONUS, ending the period well off the East Coast. Passage of this cold front will reinforce the dry and stable conditions across the majority of the CONUS, precluding thunderstorms. Modest low-level moisture will remain over central/southern FL throughout the day, but warm low to mid-level temperatures will prohibit deep convection, limiting the thunderstorm potential.Read more

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1229 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Friday. ...Synopsis... An amplified upper ridge over the eastern Pacific will meander east through the forecast period while broad upper troughing persists across the eastern U.S. At the surface, a weak low over the Ohio Valley Friday morning will move offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast late Friday night/early Saturday morning. A trailing cold front will develop south across TX and the Lower MS Valley. While modest boundary layer moisture will reside across the TX coastal plain, any appreciable instability will remain offshore over the western Gulf. A few thunderstorms could occur late in the forecast period offshore, but any lighting activity along the coast and immediately inland should remain limited. ..Leitman.. 12/10/2025Read more