
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z ...Synopsis... Large scale troughing is expected to predominate the eastern U.S. through much of next week. Multiple mid-level short wave features, related surface cold fronts and precipitation should generally keep fire weather concerns minimal across much of the eastern U.S. through Day 8/Friday. A period of prolonged above normal temperatures and dry conditions is expected across the Intermountain West and High Plains as a mid-level ridge amplifies over the western U.S. A lack of drier fuels should limit overall impact from occasional dry and breezy conditions across the Desert Southwest. ...Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday - Florida... A dry, post-frontal regime across FL should keep breezy northwest winds across the peninsula Sunday with a diminishing surface gradient reducing wind magnitude on Monday. However, light precipitation associated with the frontal passage on Day 2/Saturday along with abnormally cool temperatures and marginal fuel receptiveness should mitigate a more expansive fire weather threat across FL. This precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential.Read more

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0127 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Southern Georgia and North Florida... A strong cold front behind a rapidly deepening low just off the Carolina Coast will move through the FL Peninsula Saturday. Although breezy northwest winds of 15-20 mph are expected, a lack of widespread RH reductions below 35%, considerably colder temperatures as well as effects from recent precipitation along the FL/GA border will limit a more widespread fire weather threat across the area. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1136 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ ...Synopsis... A strong upper trough will continue to pivot through the Southeast on Saturday. A low pressure system will deepen off the East Coast. While fuels will continue to dry in the West where upper level ridging will be present, surface high pressure/cold air should greatly limit fire weather concerns for most areas with drier fuels. ...Southern Georgia into North Florida... With a low pressure system deepening off the Mid-Atlantic coast, stronger surface winds will develop behind the cold front within the Southeast and the Florida Peninsula. Winds of 10-20 mph appear possible. With cold advection occurring, it is not clear how warm temperatures will rise or how low RH will fall. There does appear to be a zone from southern Georgia into North Florida where 25-35% RH is possible by the afternoon. However, temperatures will still likely be near 40 F and there is a slight chance for precipitation as the front moves through late Friday night. Uncertainty is too high for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more